Faculty Publications


The Fed That Didn’t Bark

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In Sir Arthur Conan Doyle’s short story Silver Blaze, Sherlock Holmes concludes that since a guard dog didn’t bark the dog was friendly with the intruder. Last week the Fed didn’t bark on raising interest rates because they’re friendly with the financial markets – perhaps too friendly. After this inaction by the Fed, the equity markets seem to be very confused and appear to be trending downward. Many pundits were surprised that the stock market has not responded positively to the decision not to raise rates.